Who gets to the Moon first?
Each DePrize is a race to a real lunar milestone, like landing on the Moon or making fuel there. Pick who you think gets there first. Predict for free, or back your pick with ETH. Every bet grows the prize for the team that wins.
Bets
No bets yet
A new market starts every team at even odds.
Predict for free
Tap a competitor to predict them as the winner. It costs nothing and anyone can do it.
Predictions from Citizens are weighted by voting power and combine into the DAO forecast. When the race ends, accurate predictions climb the leaderboard.
Citizens pick who they think lands first. It costs nothing.
Back your pick with ETH
The price of a share is the current chance. At 25%, a share costs 0.25 ETH and pays 1 ETH if that team wins, so your bet can return about 4x.
About 5% of every bet goes straight into the prize. Your bet also nudges the odds toward your pick.
Amount
0 ETH
Back your pick with real ETH instead.
The prize grows
The prize pool fills from a share of every bet and from anyone who funds it directly. The more people take part, the bigger the reward for whoever gets there first.
Bettors don't share in the prize. It goes to the winning team.
Every bet
5% to the pool
Funders
Add ETH directly
2.400 ETH
Goes to
The winning team
Not to bettors
Every race has a prize pool.
A winner is decided
Experts review the evidence against rules published before betting opened. The Senate votes, anyone can challenge for 72 hours, and then the result goes on-chain.
Winning shares pay 1 ETH each. If there's no winner or the race is cancelled, bets are refunded.
- 1Evidence checked
- 2Senate vote
- 372h challenge
- 4Result on-chain
Your ≈0.35 shares → ≈0.35 ETH
Experts check the evidence against rules published before betting opened.
Predict or bet?
Predict
- Free, open to everyone
- Citizens' picks shape the DAO forecast
- Scored on the leaderboard
- No money at stake
Bet
- Uses ETH, priced at the current chance
- Winning shares pay 1 ETH each
- About 5% of every bet grows the prize
- Cash out any time the market is open
Questions
What do the percentages mean?+
The market's current chance that a competitor wins. They move every time someone bets.
How much can I win?+
Each winning share pays 1 ETH. Buying at a 25% chance pays about 4x, a little less after the 5% prize share and the price move from your own bet.
Can I get out before the race ends?+
Yes. While the market is open you can cash out your shares at the current price.
Who decides the winner?+
An expert review committee checks the evidence against the published rules, MoonDAO's Senate votes, anyone can challenge the result for 72 hours, and then it is reported on-chain.
What if nobody gets there?+
If a DePrize is cancelled, ends with no winner, or a required milestone fails, bets are refundable.
Where does the prize go?+
To the winning team. For Moon capability prizes it buys a community payload on the winner's next flight.
Does betting affect who wins?+
No. The winner is decided only by the published criteria. Competitors and insiders are not allowed to bet.
Pick your winner
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